If you read some previous posts , you may be surprised at this one !
This has not been reported as an holistic item ,but the media coverage is well represented in its parts . I think no-ones really thought of it yet ?
It is simplistic itself . Global warming melts the ice sheets . This starts to shut down the Conveyor which moves warm water from the equator toward s the poles . This reduces the heat in the upper latitudes,cooling it .
I havent the mathematical model to show what actually happens as this is going to be a dynamic equilibrium [ and Im certain the experts havent put this aspect in their models either as its almost qualitative at present - the first report was last year when they discovered the Conveyor was down by 35% ].
The bottom line is that Global warming will heat up the tropics by a LOT , water levels will rise [ bye bye to lots of land- but dont know how much ] , but that a lot of the prediction will be less than thought as the rate of loss of ice pack will slow down over time. I still believe there wont be much left of the UK nor the large low lying cities in US/rest of world , but that mankind will survive [although probably not in India and those areas ] . i just wish id got the info to model it - would be good to know the expected level of rainfall in the tropics for instance - be HUGE!
So good news !
Monday, June 12, 2006
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