Saturday, May 14, 2005

iran again

isnt politics wonderful?
The whole world knows that Iran is sitting on OOODDles of oil with a significant % of the world's total.
The whole world knows that a country with effectively free fuel would be insane to use nuclear/coal or other non renewable resource.
The whole world knows Iran is after a nuke
The whole world pretends otherwise for political reasons.

Maybe it's time to sit back and re-appraise the issues at hand here.

On one hand, with current policy Iran should have its facilities zapped with probable loss of civilian life and roughshod violence which would stir up more anti West feelings. What to do with countries that defied the non proliferation treaty has to be the next question of course after that.... if we do nothing then countries know that if they can get to a bomb they are safe---- it then becomes a target for safety from America- so everyone should try for it in which case.

On the other hand let's look at states WITH nukes.

NATO/USSR kept at peace for years
India/Pakistan almost came to blows, now just after testing nukes they are friendly again.
S.Africa is peaceful
Israel for all its belligerence hasn't actually admitted having them and certainly couldnt use them for offence
France treats the US with disdain [ it probably was the first country to realise the above hypothesis when it first developed them]. It's peaceful
S.Korea is a trouble spot- but has it tried to be offensive assuming it has them? - nope - it seems to be arguing that the US should leave it alone.

It sounds frightening, but maybe we should get peaceful and allow states to have nukes if they want them,but subject to safeguards about storage and quantities - maybe with limits - say 5 each would deter any potentially aggressive country.
It sounds even more frightening after saying that, but the other option is given above.

States would thus be about as happy as they could be .... sort of

The only problem is that of its' citizens. If they could get hold of some , they could manufacture a dirty bomb for instance . Don't forget they could do it now anyway, but with nuclear glasnost the following could apply.
All nuclear states could have to put in trace elements to make their materiel accountable. Thus if they had some nicked [ or gave some away god forbid], then it would be traceable if they hadnt declared it stolen in the first instance. Obviously if it was used as a true A bomb then this might not help.
If it was used to make a dirty bomb, then it would.

Thus the originator would be identified and could be dealt with by the UN Security council - which country would veto/vote against such an atrocity ? Not even the USA I would suggest.

It's a mind blowing option, but it should work IMO

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